The I’m All Outta Bubblegum Oscar Predictions: Part One – The Acting Categories

Tinseltown celebrates the best of the last year on Sunday night. Here’s our predictions of who will take home the Golden Statuettes in the acting categories.

  oscars-2018The 2018 Academy Awards have brought us some welcome surprises. Comic book films nominated for screenplay awards. Out-and-out horror and fantasy films nominated for best film. Kobe Bryant getting a nomination!

The Cynical Cinephile Glen and myself have put together our predictions of who will be taking home to gold. Tomorrow we’ll have a look at the screenplay, cinematography, and best film awards, but today we are looking at the acting categories.

BEST ACTOR

Timothee Chalamat (Call Me By Your Name)

Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq)
Best-Actor
Who Do You Want To Win?
James: Timothee Chalamat broke my heart in Call Me By Your Name. He should win for that last scene alone. Otherwise I would LOVE to see Daniel Kaluuya move from Psychoville and Black Mirror to Oscar winning leading man.

Glen: I was hoping this would finally be the year Andy Serkis got nominated for his superb motion-capture performances but sadly it wasn’t to be. War for the Planet of the Apes was a beautiful conclusion to what is arguably one of the best trilogies of all time and Serkis totally inhabiting the conflicted ape leader Caesar was a sight to behold. I ambitiously thought we might see Robert Pattinson get a nod for his gripping performance in Good Time. He really disappeared into that role. Out of the 5 chosen though I think Timothée Chalamet gave us a truly endearing portrayal as the young curious Elio in Call Me By Your Name. Unlike most, I don’t believe Gary Oldman should win this year.
Who Do You Think Will Win?
James: Gary Oldman. His performance as Winston Churchill has already picked up the BAFTA, and after missing out in 2012 for his Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy role, now is the time.

Glen: It has to be Gary Oldman right? There is a chance that Daniel Day Lewis nabs that fourth Oscar with his apparent final acting role but the clear favourite is Oldman.

BEST ACTRESS

Sally Hawkins (The Shape Of Water)
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
Meryl Streep (The Post)
Best-Actress-France-McDormand-Saoirse-Ronan-Sally-Hawkins-Meryl-Streep-Margot-Robbie.jpg
Who Do You Want To Win?
James: Frances McDormand. In a year of amazing performances, McDormand’s role as a grieving mother is my favourite. Funny and moving from one sentence to the next, she is fantastic.

Glen: I think what Sally Hawkins was able to accomplish in the Shape of Water was nothing short of astonishing and for me she just edges out McDormand. I would’ve liked to see Garance Marillier get nominated for her very impressive performance in French cannibal horror Raw.
Who Do You Think Will Win?
James: Frances McDormand. It’s a tour de force, and although the film might be too divisive to win the Best Picture award, the acting is top notch throughout, and McDormand leads the film so well

Glen: This is probably the tightest category to call this year but I think it comes down to Hawkins and McDormand. It’s incredibly hard to decide but I think the Academy might just go for McDormand’s darkly passionate hunt for justice.
 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
Christopher Plummer (All The Money In The World)
Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Richard Jenkins (The Shape Of Water)

Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

 Best-Supporting-Actor.jpg
Who Do You Want To Win?
James: Sam Rockwell never gets the recognition he deserves. I’m a long term fan – is it really nearly 20 years since Galaxy Quest and a decade since Moon? His (almost) redemption story in Three Billboards doesn’t follow the usual arc, and Rockwell gives it his all.
Glen: Christopher Plummer being nominated over Patrick Stewart in Logan is probably the biggest snub of the year. I would love to see Richard Jenkins win for Shape of Water. His secondary arc in the film was just as beautiful as the main story. I thought the phenomenal Barry Keoghan was sadly overlooked in the hypnotically disturbing Killing of a Sacred Deer as well as Michael Shannon (Shape of Water) and Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name) and I was genuinely surprised to see no nomination for Armie Hammer.
Who Do You Think Will Win?

James: Willem Dafoe. I could see Christopher Plummer winning for his work in All The Money In The World, preparing for the role in a matter of days, but also I can’t see the Academy wanting to shine a light on anything to do with Kevin Spacey. So, it will be third time lucky for the former Green Goblin.

 

Glen: For years I’ve been saying that Sam Rockwell is one of the most underrated actors (and dancers) of the past two decades and his fantastic turn in Three Billboards is the favourite to win and rightly so. Don’t be surprised if Dafoe takes it though.


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)
Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread)
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Octavia Spencer (The Shape Of Water)
Best-Supporting-Actress
Who Do You Want To Win?
JamesOctavia Spencer is just so entertaining in The Shape of Water I’d love to see her win.

Glen: Olivia Spencer is magnificent in everything she’s in but for me the winner is Alison Janney for her not-so-loving foul-mouthed mother role in I, Tonya. In a movie full of great performances, Janney’s horrible treatment of her daughter (played by Margot Robbie) and acidic wit make for one hilariously memorable performance. Disappointed that Dafne Keen (Logan) and Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip) didn’t get more recognition for their breakout performances in 2017.
Who Do You Think Will Win?
James: Allison Janney. A well deserved win for an actress who is never less than great.

Glen: I’d be very surprised if Janney doesn’t take this. She just dominates every single frame and commands your attention. 


We’ll be back tomorrow to run down the rest of the awards.

Until next time, stay gold, Ponyboy, stay gold. See you soonish.

that's all folks

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